This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player’s percentile rank.
The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.Detailed
Grouped
Side
The bars represents the team’s percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
vs Bears
Thursday, Nov 28th at 12:30PM
Overall QB Rating Against
75.2
Cornerbacks
66.9
Safeties
108.2
Linebackers
71.0
The Lions took Jamaal Williams and made him the second-leading touchdown scorer in 2022, the product of a strong Detroit offensive line, creative playcalling and the modest talent Williams possesses. Perhaps Montgomery is not such a standout himself, but he has more ability than Williams. It’s possible the other two variables fluctuate – a little bad injury luck can take down an otherwise strong offensive line, and coordinator Ben Johnson might see challenging defensive adjustments that didn’t occur to opponents in 2022 – but Montgomery still walks into a favorable situation. Montgomery and 12th overall pick Jahmyr Gibbs can and must coexist for Detroit to win, because at 199 pounds Gibbs can only bear so much physical burden. Short-yardage tasks, which is to often say carries within five yards of the end zone, might be left more so to Montgomery. At over 220 pounds with a hammerhead mentality, Montgomery is built to be a better version of Williams.
After a breakthrough 2020 season, Montgomery came roaring out of the gate in 2021 with three touchdowns and two 100-yard rushing performances in the first four weeks. Unfortunately, a sprained knee cost him the next four weeks, and in his absence Khalil Herbert proved nearly as productive as the Bears’ lead back. Montgomery regained his lead role upon his return, but not his mojo, as he ran for only four more touchdowns the rest of the way and didn’t have another 100-yard rushing game. The knee injury may have played a factor in that downturn, as Montgomery’s broken tackle numbers and yards after contact both regressed significantly from the season before, and he doesn’t have the kind of elite athleticism that would allow him to be effective at less than 100 percent. Where he does excel is with his vision and patience, which often leaves him at the mercy of a middling Chicago offensive line. With the Matt Nagy era now over, new offensive coordinator Luke Getsy is expected to bring a Packers-style scheme to another NFC North squad. That might mean Herbert getting more touches, but the bigger concern is Montgomery’s shaky team context after the Bears’ six-win 2021 season was followed by an offseason marked by significant losses (WR Allen Robinson, G James Daniels, DE/OLB Khalil Mack) without comparable veteran replacements.
Few players changed the trajectory of their careers for the better in 2020 more than Montgomery. After a lackluster rookie season that left his future as a potential lead runner in doubt, the 23-year-old got a little more support from his offensive line and a little more trust from coach Matt Nagy, ultimately breaking out for more than 1,000 yards rushing and 1,500 yards from scrimmage. Montgomery’s best assets might be his patience and vision, traits that do leave him more scheme-dependent than some other RBs, though he also possesses plenty of power and finished fourth among all backs in broken tackles last year. He’s even a capable receiver and pass protector, and he more than doubled his production through the air from his debut campaign. The Chicago offense is still a less than ideal environment for any skill player, and replacing Mitchell Trubisky with Andy Dalton and Justin Fields won’t necessarily fix the problem right away, but Montgomery has now established himself — alongside WR Allen Robinson — as one of the centerpieces of the team’s attack. Even if he loses some targets with Damien WIlliams joining the team and Tarik Cohen coming back from an ACL tear, Montgomery is a safe bet to dominate Chicago’s ground workload again.
Montgomery struggled through a lackluster rookie season, but it’s hard to pin the blame solely on him. The Bears offense was a disaster in 2019, as an injury-plagued offensive line and regression from Mitchell Trubisky constantly put the running game in poor situations and forced Montgomery to dance for yards that weren’t there. He finished seventh among qualified rushers in broken tackle rate and T-6th in broken tackles (28), so he proved adept at making the first man miss. The problem was the three or four other defenders who were there a split second later, as his average of 1.6 yards after contact was fourth lowest in the league, sandwiching him between Peyton Barber and Sony Michel. Montgomery’s early down role in tandem with Tarik Cohen seems secure, while the overall outlook remains cloudy. The addition of Bill Lazor as Chicago’s new offensive coordinator seems geared toward improving the passing game, as does the team’s decision to trade for Nick Foles to compete with Trubisky under center, and the offensive line could be even worse following the retirement of Kyle Long. Montgomery might have the skills to be an effective NFL back, but his team context remains suboptimal, and a groin injury from training camp has him looking questionable-to-doubtful for Week 1.
A 2019 third-round pick out of Iowa State, Montgomery steps into an immediate competition with free-agent signee Mike Davis for a significant role in the Chicago backfield alongside Tarik Cohen. Montgomery’s most impressive traits as a runner are his vision, patience and power, as he calmly lets holes develop before throttling up to get to the second level. He ran just a 4.63 in the 40-yard dash, but he has enough wiggle to make the first tackler miss, and he can generate yards after contact with a stout frame, bringing a low center of gravity and powerful leg drive. He’s also competent as a receiver and already adept as a pass protector, giving him the ability to stay on the field for three downs, even if his targets will be limited by Cohen’s presence. There are concerns about Montgomery’s college workload and the punishment his running style creates, but he’s essentially a more versatile version of Jordan Howard, so he likely will have an opportunity to thrive in the same role focused on early downs and short-yardage carries.